NBHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NBHC - NATIONAL BANK HOLDINGS CORP.
$40.81
-0.42 (-1.02%)
▼
5d:
-4.76%
30d:
-1.07%
90d:
-2.46%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Get Alerted When NBHC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NBHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NBHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.40
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.58
10.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NBHC is currently trading at $40.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.28 to $42.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NBHC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.25 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NBHC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.25 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$41.28 -
$42.86
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.28 -
$42.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.66
Resistance Level
$43.44
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.89
Wall Street Target
$48.25
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.1%
Profit Margin
24.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.16
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$39.51
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$38.88
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$40.90
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 18.9%)
$153.31
(+276%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 18.9%)
$68.68
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 18.9%)
$58.38
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.68
Bull Case
$69.85
(+71%)
Analyst growth 54.0%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$63.50
(+56%)
Market implied 54.0%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$28.04
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$42.93
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 6:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NBHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Steinmetz
BUY
24200 shares
2026-02-11
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
USB
U.S. Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$63 | 55 HOLD |
|
PNC
PNC Financial Services G… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$255 | 60 HOLD |
|
KEY
KeyCorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$25 | 59 HOLD |
|
WBS
Webster Financial Corpor… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$74 | 59 HOLD |
|
NU
Nu Holdings Ltd |
BUY
20 analysts |
$20 | 50 HOLD |