Is NCMI stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, NCMI is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: NCMI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of NCMI stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for NCMI to be between $3.71 and $3.92. The current price is $3.61.

What is the analyst price target for NCMI?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for NCMI is $5.50. This implies a potential upside of 52.4% from current levels.

NCMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NCMI - National CineMedia, Inc.

SERVICES-ADVERTISING

$3.61

0.00 (0.00%) ▲

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Mar 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NCMI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NCMI is currently trading at $3.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.71 to $3.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 51.6) is in line with its historical norms (56.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NCMI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: NCMI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.50 (+52.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $3.71 - $3.92

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 52.4% below Wall St target ($5.50)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.71 - $3.92

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.55

Resistance Level $3.89

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 51.57

Wall Street Target $5.50 (+52.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 6.4%

Profit Margin -6.4%

Valuation Discount vs History -3.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 51.6 vs 56.5 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $3.50 (-3%)

2-Year Target $3.40 (-6%)

3-Year Target $3.29 (-9%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 52→57) $3.61 (0%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 51.6 to 56.5

Stabilization Target: $3.96 (+9.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +9.6%

Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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