NDAQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NDAQ - Nasdaq, Inc. Common Stock

SECURITY & COMMODITY BROKERS, DEALERS, EXCHANGES & SERVICES
$96.89
-1.20 (-1.22%) ▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NDAQ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.09
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$88.85
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NDAQ is currently trading at $96.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $97.61 to $99.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.4) is in line with its historical norms (25.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NDAQ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $96.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.36 (+11.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $97.61 - $99.84
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($109.36)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $97.61 - $99.84
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $96.54
Resistance Level $101.79
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.42
Wall Street Target $109.36 (+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 37.7%
Profit Margin 19.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.6% premium
PE vs Historical 25.4 vs 25.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $98.68 (+1%)
2-Year Target $99.27 (+1%)
3-Year Target $99.87 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→25) PE COMPRESSION $98.20 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.4, Growth: 12.5%) $139.53 (+42%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.5%) $122.38 (+25%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.5%) $104.03 (+6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.80
Bull Case $149.29 (+52%)
Analyst growth 37.8%, PE expands to 38.7
Base Case $135.72 (+38%)
Market implied 37.8%, PE stable at 35.2
Bear Case $66.98 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2025-09-26
April McClain Delaney BUY 2025-09-19
Ro Khanna SELL 2025-09-08

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