NDAQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NDAQ - Nasdaq, Inc. Common Stock
$83.52
2.04 (2.50%)
▲
5d:
-3.33%
30d:
-4.64%
90d:
-15.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
22d
Smart Money Accumulation
NDAQ is down 3.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $97.5 2026-06-18 with 3,361 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NDAQ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NDAQ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$145.60
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.40
7.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NDAQ is currently trading at $83.52, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.83 to $87.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (22.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NDAQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $81.00, while resistance sits at $87.51.
Market Sentiment: NDAQ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.57 (+31.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NDAQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $81.00, while resistance sits at $87.51.
Market Sentiment: NDAQ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.57 (+31.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$82.83 -
$87.89
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.2% below Wall St target ($109.57)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$82.83 -
$87.89
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.00
Resistance Level
$87.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.98
Wall Street Target
$109.57
(+31.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.6%
Profit Margin
34.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 22.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.18
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$75.06
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$71.16
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→22)
$83.61
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$140.09
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.5%)
$118.96
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 12.5%)
$101.11
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.09
Bull Case
$134.60
(+56%)
Analyst growth 41.7%, PE expands to 30.7
Base Case
$122.36
(+42%)
Market implied 41.7%, PE stable at 28.0
Bear Case
$58.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 22.3
Stabilization Target:
$98.14
(+17.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NDAQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Adena T Friedman
SELL
92840 shares
2026-03-06
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-02-27
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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