NEXN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NEXN - Nexxen International Ltd. Ordinary Shares

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.
$6.18
0.15 (2.49%) β–²
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: NEXN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.84
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.49
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NEXN is currently trading at $6.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.01 to $6.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.8) is in line with its historical norms (6.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.81, while resistance sits at $6.62.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.34 (+104.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $6.01 - $6.53
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 3th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.7%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 104.6% below Wall St target ($12.34)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $6.01 - $6.53
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$0.59 (9.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.81
Resistance Level $6.62
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.83
Wall Street Target $12.34 (+104.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -65.0%
Profit Margin 10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.8 vs 6.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.89 (-2%)
2-Year Target $5.74 (-5%)
3-Year Target $5.61 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6β†’6) $6.06 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.6%) $29.54 (+390%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 8.6%) $7.73 (+28%)
Bear: (PE: 5.0, Growth: 8.6%) $6.57 (+9%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.10
Bull Case $6.57 (+6%)
Analyst growth -6.0%, PE expands to 6.4
Base Case $5.97 (-3%)
Market implied -6.0%, PE stable at 5.8
Bear Case $4.32 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 6.3
Stabilization Target: $6.51 (+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 PM
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Advanced NEXN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NEXN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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