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NFLX Stock Price Prediction 2026

NetFlix Inc

$87.02
+$0.08 (+0.09%)

AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections

Last Updated: May 15, 2026

NFLX Price Forecast 2026: Our AI models project that NFLX stock will fall to approximately $83.97 by 2026. This represents a potential 3.5% contraction from the current trading price of $87.02. The overall market sentiment for NFLX is currently neutral, based on a combination of proprietary technical signals and fundamental analysis.

Fundamental Analysis: Trading at a P/E ratio of 28.0, with its most recent quarterly earnings growing by 0.9%. NFLX shows a complex fundamental profile. Our model evaluates these metrics alongside sector peers and historical performance to derive the 2026 price target. If the company exceeds its current growth projections, there may be further upside beyond our base case scenario.

Technical Outlook: The stock is technically in a downtrend phase. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently 36.8, which suggests the stock is trading in a neutral range. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely, as a breakout or breakdown from current price consolidation will be the primary catalyst for the stock reaching the 2026 predicted target.

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AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
  • MACD converging near zero line - potential energy building
  • Volume showing distribution (CMF: -0.2974)
MACD: Bearish | Volume: Distribution
Fair Value Estimate
+11.9% Undervalued
Fair Value: $97.37 (Current: $87.02)

Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears undervalued at current levels. The fair value estimate suggests 11.9% upside potential.

PEG Ratio
0.86
Attractive
Forward P/E
27.32
Fair P/E
30.57
Earnings Growth
31.6%
📉

Volume Trend: Distribution

Selling Pressure Present - Distribution pattern observed

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): -0.297
Money Flow Index (MFI): 41.8

Negative CMF indicates money flowing out of the stock. Exercise caution as this may signal distribution.

Options Analysis: 1-Year Target Strategy

Score: 57/100

Analysts project the stock to decline. Options analysis identifies premium selling opportunities (covered calls, credit spreads).

SELL PREMIUM - Good covered call opportunity. Analysts bearish with 3.5% downside target.
Growth Target (1Y)
$83.97
-3.5% (below current)
Best Strike Found
$100.00
Exp: June 17, 2027, midnight
Call Premium
$9.75
11.2% of stock price
Breakeven Price
$109.75
⚠ Above target
Implied Probability
47.4%
Market's confidence
Value Score
-100.0
Overpriced
📉
STRONG SELL
Analysts expect stock to decline - Sell calls to collect premium
Seller's Advantage:
Premium Collected
$9.75
Profit if Target Hits
$9.75
ROI if Target Hits
+100.0%
Why This Works: Buyers lose 100.0% even if target hits. Premium is overpriced for -3.5% move.
Suggested Strategies: Covered Call (safest) Naked Call (risky) Credit Spread (defined risk)
Open Interest: 4,461 | Volume: 57
Data as of: May 15, 2026
How to Use This Analysis: Value Score shows profitability if the 1-year growth target is reached. Positive score = profitable for buyers. Negative score = profit opportunity for premium sellers (covered calls, credit spreads).
Price Targets by Timeframe
AI-based growth projections (not Wall Street analyst targets)
Timeframe Target Price Potential Return
30 Days $86.78 -0.3%
90 Days $86.26 -0.9%
6 Months $85.50 -1.8%
1 Year $83.97 -3.5%
2 Years EXTENDED $81.04 -6.9%
3 Years EXTENDED $78.20 -10.1%

More NFLX Analysis

Why is NFLX Moving? Buy or Sell NFLX? NFLX Full Analysis NFLX Trendline Analysis
NFLX Price Prediction Trendline

Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)

Bull Case
30% Probability
$104.96 (+20.6%)

Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align

Base Case
50% Probability
$83.97 (+-3.5%)

Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory

Bear Case
20% Probability
$58.78 (-32.5%)

Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
36.8
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bearish
Trend
Downtrend
Money Flow (CMF)
-0.30

Key Fundamentals

P/E Ratio
28.05
Forward P/E
27.32
P/S Ratio (TTM)
7.81x
Growth Premium
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
0.9%
Market Cap
$366,087M
Analyst Target
$114.56
52-Week High
$87.20
52-Week Low
$86.79

Options Activity

Alert Score
86/100
Classification
Strong Alert
Unusual Activity
81.1
IV Spike
+100.4%

Recommendation: Strong unusual activity detected. Review for potential entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the NFLX stock price prediction for 2026?

Based on our AI analysis, NFLX is predicted to reach $83.97 by 2026, representing a potential 3.5% decrease from the current price of $87.02.

Is NFLX stock a good buy right now?

Our analysis suggests NFLX is a "HOLD" based on current technical and fundamental indicators. With a projected 3.5% downside, investors should consider their risk tolerance and investment horizon.

What is NFLX 52-week high and low?

NFLX has a 52-week high of $87.20 and a 52-week low of $86.78. The stock is currently trading 0.2% below its 52-week high.

What is the technical analysis for NFLX?

NFLX is currently in a downtrend trend. The RSI of 36.8 indicates the stock is trading in neutral territory. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels for potential entry points.

Where will NFLX stock be in 3 years?

Our long-term projection estimates NFLX could reach $78.20 by 2028, representing a 10.1% decline from current levels. Long-term predictions carry more uncertainty.

Investment Disclaimer: These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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