NGVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGVT - Ingevity Corporation
$67.25
1.46 (2.22%)
▲
5d:
-2.92%
30d:
+13.64%
90d:
+25.68%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
13d
Get Alerted When NGVT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.89
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGVT is currently trading at $67.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.42 to $67.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGVT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.56, while resistance sits at $69.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGVT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.56, while resistance sits at $69.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$61.42 -
$67.70
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($70.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.2% growth with -0.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$61.42 -
$67.70
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.02
(4.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.56
Resistance Level
$69.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.06
Wall Street Target
$70.75
(+5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.2%
Profit Margin
-4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 12.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.09
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$77.28
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$82.85
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$67.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 45.0%)
$100.96
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 45.0%)
$68.16
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 45.0%)
$55.23
(-18%)
Last updated: February 03, 2026 3:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NGVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Specialty Chemicals Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Chemicals by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LIN
Linde plc Ordinary Shares |
BUY
28 analysts |
$505 | 64 BUY |
|
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Co |
BUY
28 analysts |
$387 | 61 BUY |
|
DD
Dupont De Nemours Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$49 | 65 BUY |
|
IFF
International Flavors & … |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$82 | 62 BUY |
|
APD
Air Products and Chemica… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$295 | 60 HOLD |
