NICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NICE - NICE Ltd
$110.07
1.72 (1.59%)
▲
5d:
-5.93%
30d:
-5.32%
90d:
-2.32%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.37
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.10
4.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NICE is currently trading at $110.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.75 to $122.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 56.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $105.28, while resistance sits at $121.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $154.27 (+42.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $105.28, while resistance sits at $121.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $154.27 (+42.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$111.75 -
$122.85
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.4% below Wall St target ($154.27)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.9% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$111.75 -
$122.85
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$105.28
Resistance Level
$121.35
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.71
Wall Street Target
$154.27
(+42.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.7%
Profit Margin
20.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 9.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.23
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$100.27
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$96.46
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$108.51
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.6%)
$408.20
(+277%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 13.6%)
$158.76
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 13.6%)
$134.94
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.67
Bull Case
$167.45
(+43%)
Analyst growth 28.6%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$152.23
(+30%)
Market implied 28.6%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$80.48
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$121.88
(+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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