NICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NICE - NICE Ltd
$109.37
2.96 (2.78%)
▲
5d:
-5.8%
30d:
-3.25%
90d:
-19.29%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
15d
Get Alerted When NICE Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.52
Based on -2.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.55
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NICE is currently trading at $109.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $110.79 to $116.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $106.00, while resistance sits at $117.21.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.67 (+46.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $106.00, while resistance sits at $117.21.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.67 (+46.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$110.79 -
$116.51
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
7th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.9% below Wall St target ($160.67)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$110.79 -
$116.51
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.94
(6.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$106.00
Resistance Level
$117.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.86
Wall Street Target
$160.67
(+46.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.1%
Profit Margin
19.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.95
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$106.54
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$105.16
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$108.74
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -9.6%)
$182.72
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: -9.6%)
$80.82
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: -9.6%)
$68.70
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.80
Bull Case
$147.48
(+35%)
Analyst growth 26.0%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$134.07
(+23%)
Market implied 26.0%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$72.36
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$113.09
(+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.4%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 6:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
UBER
Uber Technologies Inc |
STRONG BUY
54 analysts |
$110 | 54 HOLD |
|
GRAB
Grab Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$7 | 58 HOLD |
|
DT
Dynatrace Holdings LLC |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$58 | 55 HOLD |
|
CRM
Salesforce.com Inc |
STRONG BUY
55 analysts |
$329 | 57 HOLD |
|
WDAY
Workday Inc |
STRONG BUY
43 analysts |
$271 | 56 HOLD |
