NIQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NIQ - NIQ Global Intelligence plc
$8.55
0.10 (1.18%)
▲
5d:
+4.27%
30d:
-23.8%
90d:
-22.76%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NIQ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NIQ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.37
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.27
35.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NIQ is currently trading at $8.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.24 to $11.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.1) compared to its historical average (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.06, while resistance sits at $11.16.
Market Sentiment: NIQ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.27 (+78.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.06, while resistance sits at $11.16.
Market Sentiment: NIQ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.27 (+78.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.24 -
$11.52
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 78.6% below Wall St target ($15.27)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.24 -
$11.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.06
Resistance Level
$11.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.11
Wall Street Target
$15.27
(+78.6%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 9.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.77
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$7.06
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$6.42
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$8.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 23.1%)
$49.27
(+476%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 23.1%)
$15.93
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 23.1%)
$13.54
(+58%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$11.42
(+33.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 26, 2026 12:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NIQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL