NMRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMRK - Newmark Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$14.79
-1.05 (-6.63%)
▼
5d:
-12.33%
30d:
-6.92%
90d:
+3.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
NMRK is down 12.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $17.5 2026-06-18 with 122 OI. Call ratio: 97% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NMRK is down 12.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NMRK is down 12.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.73
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.97
7.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMRK is currently trading at $14.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.33 to $16.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 146.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.58 (+32.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.58 (+32.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.33 -
$16.54
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NMRK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.4% below Wall St target ($19.58)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.33 -
$16.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.43
Resistance Level
$17.13
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.85
Wall Street Target
$19.58
(+32.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
146.9%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 8.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.96
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$13.18
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$12.44
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$14.72
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.1%)
$67.12
(+354%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$20.85
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$17.72
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$34.85
(+136%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$31.68
(+114%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$10.77
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 8.1
Stabilization Target:
$17.50
(+18.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NMRK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NMRK price and gamma walls.
