NOMD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOMD - Nomad Foods Limited
$12.70
0.15 (1.20%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 02, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NOMD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NOMD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.96
Based on 3.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.29
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOMD is currently trading at $12.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.86 to $12.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NOMD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.85 (+32.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NOMD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.85 (+32.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$11.86 -
$12.48
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.6% below Wall St target ($16.85)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with -2.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.86 -
$12.48
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.57
Resistance Level
$12.74
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.37
Wall Street Target
$16.85
(+32.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.5%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 7.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.83
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$12.96
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$13.08
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.79
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.6%)
$42.79
(+237%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 3.6%)
$14.14
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 3.6%)
$12.02
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.55
Bull Case
$15.03
(+18%)
Analyst growth 11.3%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$13.67
(+8%)
Market implied 11.3%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$8.35
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOMD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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