NOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NOW - SERVICENOW, INC.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$117.01
0.28 (0.24%) β–²
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NOW is down 12.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$165.22
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.59
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NOW is currently trading at $117.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.95 to $152.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.2) compared to its historical average (36.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NOW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $113.13, while resistance sits at $136.63.

Market Sentiment: NOW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $206.29 (+76.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $127.95 - $152.03
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 76.7% below Wall St target ($206.29)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $127.95 - $152.03
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $113.13
Resistance Level $136.63
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.16
Wall Street Target $206.29 (+76.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 15.9%
Profit Margin 13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 29.2 vs 36.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $107.98 (-8%)
2-Year Target $99.88 (-14%)
3-Year Target $92.39 (-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29β†’37) $116.58 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.2, Growth: 17.3%) $188.44 (+61%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.3%) $144.09 (+23%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 17.3%) $122.48 (+5%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 31.95 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.66
Bull Case $141.29 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 33.6
Base Case $117.01 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case $89.51 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 28.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.2 to 36.8
Stabilization Target: $147.30 (+26.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +26.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul BUY 2025-09-25
Markwayne Mullin BUY 2025-09-24
Ro Khanna BUY 2025-09-05

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Advanced NOW Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NOW price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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