NPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NPO - Enpro Inc.

GASKETS, PACKG & SEALG DEVICES & RUBBER & PLASTICS HOSE
$238.78
-1.22 (-0.51%) ▼
5d: +1.55%
30d: +9.07%
90d: +5.06%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026 15d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NPO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$320.99
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$199.31
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NPO is currently trading at $238.78, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $222.87 to $239.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.2) is in line with its historical norms (25.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NPO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $230.00, while resistance sits at $246.26.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $222.87 - $239.28
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 40th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.1%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 40th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($252.33)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $222.87 - $239.28
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$15.44 (6.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $230.00
Resistance Level $246.26
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.22
Wall Street Target $252.33 (+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 7.4%
Profit Margin 7.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.2% premium
PE vs Historical 27.2 vs 25.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $244.03 (+2%)
2-Year Target $249.40 (+4%)
3-Year Target $254.89 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→26) PE COMPRESSION $238.81 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.2, Growth: 11.9%) $334.19 (+40%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.9%) $273.82 (+15%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 11.9%) $232.74 (-3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 26.95 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.86
Bull Case $288.33 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.3
Base Case $238.78 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.0
Bear Case $182.67 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 9:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Savage Mclean SELL 2541 shares 2025-08-20

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