NRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NRC - National Research Corporation Common Stock (Delaware)
$22.40
0.06 (0.27%)
▲
5d:
+9.06%
30d:
+14.34%
90d:
+29.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.75
13.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NRC is currently trading at $22.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.64 to $21.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.9) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NRC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NRC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.64 -
$21.04
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 3.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.64 -
$21.04
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.77
Resistance Level
$20.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.93
Wall Street Target
$23.00
(+2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.0%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 19.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.78
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$23.17
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$23.56
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 214.7%)
$78.65
(+251%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 214.7%)
$75.60
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.8, Growth: 214.7%)
$64.26
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.30
Bull Case
$27.05
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$22.40
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$17.14
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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