NSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NSA - National Storage Affiliates Trust
$37.71
0.71 (1.92%)
▲
5d:
+0.75%
30d:
+6.59%
90d:
+34.25%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
NSA is down 9.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-04-17 with 1,897 OI. Call ratio: 93% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NSA trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: NSA trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.49
Based on 1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.51
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NSA is currently trading at $37.71, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.05 to $37.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 92.8) compared to its historical average (75.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$33.05 -
$37.77
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NSA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.59)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.2% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$33.05 -
$37.77
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.65
Resistance Level
$39.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
92.82
Wall Street Target
$36.59
(-1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.7%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.2% premium
PE vs Historical
92.8 vs 75.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.66
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$42.52
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$45.58
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 93→75)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.02
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 92.8, Growth: -1.9%)
$34.91
(+-6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: -1.9%)
$8.41
(-77%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -1.9%)
$7.14
(-81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 53.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.69
Bull Case
$23.59
(-38%)
Analyst growth -42.2%, PE expands to 59.2
Base Case
$21.44
(-43%)
Market implied -42.2%, PE stable at 53.8
Bear Case
$25.24
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 45.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NSA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NSA price and gamma walls.
