NTCT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTCT - Netscout Systems Inc
$38.46
-0.48 (-1.23%)
▼
5d:
-1.61%
30d:
+16.3%
90d:
+29.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Get Alerted When NTCT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NTCT trades at premium valuation expecting 7.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: NTCT trades at premium valuation expecting 7.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.23
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTCT is currently trading at $38.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.93 to $36.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTCT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.94, while resistance sits at $40.92.
Market Sentiment: NTCT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTCT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.94, while resistance sits at $40.92.
Market Sentiment: NTCT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$31.93 -
$36.43
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($41.71)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.8% growth with -1.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.93 -
$36.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.94
Resistance Level
$40.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.39
Wall Street Target
$41.71
(+7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Profit Margin
11.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 12.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.98
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$45.25
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$48.78
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.98
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 4.4%)
$63.46
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 4.4%)
$44.31
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 4.4%)
$35.41
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case
$84.35
(+117%)
Analyst growth 94.6%, PE expands to 33.3
Base Case
$76.68
(+97%)
Market implied 94.6%, PE stable at 30.3
Bear Case
$26.79
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NTCT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Downing
SELL
3000 shares
2026-02-20
Christopher Perretta
SELL
10000 shares
2025-12-12
Sanjay Munshi
SELL
2000 shares
2025-12-03
Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
S
SentinelOne Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$19 | 63 BUY |
|
GTLB
Gitlab Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$31 | 56 HOLD |
|
PANW
Palo Alto Networks Inc |
STRONG BUY
52 analysts |
$206 | 60 HOLD |
|
MDB
MongoDB |
STRONG BUY
40 analysts |
$347 | 58 HOLD |
|
OKTA
Okta Inc |
BUY
45 analysts |
$100 | 65 BUY |
