NTIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NTIC - Northern Technologies International Corp.

COATING, ENGRAVING & ALLIED SERVICES
$9.02
-0.04 (-0.44%) ▼
5d: -1.96%
30d: +15.2%
90d: +19.23%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 09, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NTIC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.3% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.25
44.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NTIC is currently trading at $9.02, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.20 to $9.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NTIC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+43.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $8.20 - $9.48
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 43.5% below Wall St target ($13.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $8.20 - $9.48
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.84
Resistance Level $9.97
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.10
Wall Street Target $13.00 (+43.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -57.7%
Profit Margin -0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -12.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.1 vs 22.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -12.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.15 (-10%)
2-Year Target $7.34 (-19%)
3-Year Target $6.60 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→22) $9.80 (+8%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 130.8%) $45.16 (+398%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 130.8%) $30.58 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 12.8, Growth: 130.8%) $25.99 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 22.4
Stabilization Target: $13.44 (+48.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +48.3%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 10:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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