NTIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTIC - Northern Technologies International Corp.
$8.06
-0.04 (-0.56%)
▼
5d:
-4.11%
30d:
-8.26%
90d:
+2.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 09, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NTIC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NTIC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.20
39.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTIC is currently trading at $8.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.28 to $8.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTIC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NTIC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+60.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTIC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NTIC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+60.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$8.28 -
$8.81
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.5% below Wall St target ($13.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.28 -
$8.81
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.01
Resistance Level
$9.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.50
Wall Street Target
$13.00
(+60.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.7%
Profit Margin
-0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 18.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.34
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$6.65
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$6.02
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$8.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 130.8%)
$45.26
(+459%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 130.8%)
$27.34
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 130.8%)
$23.24
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 18.2
Stabilization Target:
$10.92
(+34.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 12:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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