NTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTR - Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares
$68.89
-2.24 (-3.15%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.15
Based on 3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.66
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTR is currently trading at $68.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.91 to $68.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.80, while resistance sits at $73.06. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: NTR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.80, while resistance sits at $73.06. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: NTR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$60.91 -
$68.88
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($69.52)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$60.91 -
$68.88
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.80
Resistance Level
$73.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.56
Wall Street Target
$69.52
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2526.4%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.68
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$72.52
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$74.40
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$69.01
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 2.6%)
$114.12
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 2.6%)
$74.48
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 2.6%)
$63.31
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.71
Bull Case
$100.48
(+46%)
Analyst growth 27.6%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case
$91.34
(+33%)
Market implied 27.6%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$48.69
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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