NTRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTRS - Northern Trust Corp
$149.43
-1.23 (-0.82%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
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1 traders called NTRS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NTRS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NTRS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.56
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.33
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTRS is currently trading at $149.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.21 to $148.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTRS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $140.39, while resistance sits at $157.60.
Market Sentiment: NTRS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTRS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $140.39, while resistance sits at $157.60.
Market Sentiment: NTRS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$140.21 -
$148.64
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NTRS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($154.61)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$140.21 -
$148.64
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$140.39
Resistance Level
$157.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.70
Wall Street Target
$154.61
(+3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 14.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$146.14
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$142.93
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$139.78
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$148.97
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.3%)
$318.02
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 9.3%)
$195.37
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 9.3%)
$166.07
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.74
Bull Case
$206.27
(+38%)
Analyst growth 24.8%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$187.51
(+26%)
Market implied 24.8%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$102.17
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$159.25
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Robert Edward Jr. Moritz
BUY
256 shares
2025-08-13
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