NVGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVGS - NAVIGATOR HOLDINGS LTD.
$19.12
0.20 (1.06%)
▲
5d:
+2.69%
30d:
-9.04%
90d:
+11.29%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NVGS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NVGS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.15
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.13
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVGS is currently trading at $19.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.74 to $20.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.93, while resistance sits at $19.79.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.67 (+18.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.93, while resistance sits at $19.79.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.67 (+18.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$18.74 -
$20.79
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
28th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 28th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.2% growth with 6.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.74 -
$20.79
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.04
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.93
Resistance Level
$19.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.55
Wall Street Target
$22.67
(+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.9%
Profit Margin
17.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.73
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$20.36
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$21.01
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 4.0%)
$41.65
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 4.0%)
$21.52
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 4.0%)
$18.29
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$22.53
(+21%)
Analyst growth 12.6%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$20.48
(+10%)
Market implied 12.6%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$12.36
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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