NWG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWG - NatWest Group plc American Depositary Shares, (each representing two (2) Ordinary Shares)
$18.23
-0.09 (-0.49%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 13, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWG is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NWG is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.44
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.56
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWG is currently trading at $18.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.26 to $18.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$17.26 -
$18.00
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NWG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($17.23)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.26 -
$18.00
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.30
Resistance Level
$18.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.63
Wall Street Target
$17.23
(-5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.0%
Profit Margin
36.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.41
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$18.60
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$18.78
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.14
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.8%)
$52.92
(+190%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 7.8%)
$22.85
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 7.8%)
$19.42
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.78
Bull Case
$21.30
(+17%)
Analyst growth 6.4%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$19.37
(+6%)
Market implied 6.4%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$12.38
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NWG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NWG price and gamma walls.
