NWG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWG - NatWest Group plc American Depositary Shares, (each representing two (2) Ordinary Shares)
$14.90
0.59 (4.12%)
▲
5d:
+3.47%
30d:
-8.36%
90d:
-15.1%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NWG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NWG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.76
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.75
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWG is currently trading at $14.90, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.62 to $16.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.76, while resistance sits at $15.56. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.14 (+28.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.76, while resistance sits at $15.56. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.14 (+28.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$14.62 -
$16.42
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 28.5% below Wall St target ($19.14)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.62 -
$16.42
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.76
Resistance Level
$15.56
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.35
Wall Street Target
$19.14
(+28.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.1%
Profit Margin
36.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 8.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.02
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$13.19
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$12.42
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$14.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.8%)
$56.80
(+281%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 7.8%)
$18.67
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 7.8%)
$15.87
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.79
Bull Case
$17.57
(+22%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 8.5
Base Case
$15.97
(+11%)
Market implied 15.0%, PE stable at 7.8
Bear Case
$9.45
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$17.85
(+19.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 12:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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