NWG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWG - NatWest Group plc American Depositary Shares, (each representing two (2) Ordinary Shares)
$17.99
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+3.69%
30d:
+11.39%
90d:
+15.69%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.42
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWG is currently trading at $17.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.91 to $17.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.28 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.28 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.91 -
$17.32
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.28)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.91 -
$17.32
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.69
Resistance Level
$16.33
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.60
Wall Street Target
$20.28
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.6%
Profit Margin
36.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.33
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$18.68
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$19.04
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$62.60
(+248%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 11.2%)
$24.71
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 11.2%)
$21.00
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.84
Bull Case
$22.06
(+23%)
Analyst growth 13.7%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$20.05
(+12%)
Market implied 13.7%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$11.99
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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