NWL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NWL - Newell Brands Inc.

PLASTICS PRODUCTS, NEC
$4.25
0.07 (1.67%) ▲
5d: -1.62%
30d: +12.43%
90d: -13.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 06, 2026 3d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.70
9.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NWL is currently trading at $4.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.80 to $4.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NWL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.09, while resistance sits at $4.46.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.06 (+19.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $3.80 - $4.31
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.06)
  • BEARISH: Market expects 3.2% growth - appears too optimistic based on history

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.80 - $4.31
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.09
Resistance Level $4.46
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.33
Wall Street Target $5.06 (+19.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1.5%
Profit Margin -0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.2% premium
PE vs Historical 7.3 vs 6.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $4.39 (+3%)
2-Year Target $4.53 (+7%)
3-Year Target $4.67 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→7) PE COMPRESSION $4.27 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 69.5%) $13.20 (+211%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 69.5%) $4.34 (+2%)
Bear: (PE: 6.2, Growth: 69.5%) $3.69 (-13%)
Last updated: February 02, 2026 2:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced NWL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NWL price and gamma walls.

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