NWL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWL - Newell Brands Inc.
$3.43
0.13 (3.94%)
▲
5d:
-3.38%
30d:
-22.75%
90d:
-9.74%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
NWL is down 12.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $5 2026-04-17 with 4,184 OI. Call ratio: 86% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.53
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.68
26.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWL is currently trading at $3.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.58 to $4.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.1) compared to its historical average (6.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.27, while resistance sits at $3.85. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: NWL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.12 (+49.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.27, while resistance sits at $3.85. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: NWL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.12 (+49.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$3.58 -
$4.52
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 49.4% below Wall St target ($5.12)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.58 -
$4.52
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.27
Resistance Level
$3.86
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.08
Wall Street Target
$5.13
(+49.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.5%
Profit Margin
-4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.1 vs 6.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.15
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$2.90
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$2.66
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→7)
$3.40
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 19.1%)
$25.45
(+642%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.1, Growth: 19.1%)
$5.79
(+69%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.3, Growth: 19.1%)
$4.92
(+44%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.1 to 6.5
Stabilization Target:
$4.38
(+27.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Pete Stauber
BUY
2025-10-27
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Advanced NWL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NWL price and gamma walls.
