NWN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWN - Northwest Natural Holding Company
$49.73
1.00 (2.05%)
▲
5d:
-1.52%
30d:
+2.3%
90d:
-7.39%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.85
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWN is currently trading at $49.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.67 to $50.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.57, while resistance sits at $52.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.50 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.57, while resistance sits at $52.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.50 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$48.67 -
$50.13
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($57.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.67 -
$50.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.57
Resistance Level
$52.30
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.41
Wall Street Target
$57.50
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.18
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$48.64
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$48.11
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$49.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.6%)
$82.81
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 5.6%)
$58.60
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 5.6%)
$49.81
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.92
Bull Case
$59.23
(+19%)
Analyst growth 10.5%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$53.85
(+8%)
Market implied 10.5%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$33.14
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$51.30
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David A Weber
SELL
1700 shares
2026-03-23
David A Weber
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-05
Joseph S Karney
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-05
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