NWN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWN - Northwest Natural Holding Company
$48.42
-1.49 (-2.99%)
▼
5d:
-4.0%
30d:
-11.2%
90d:
-3.83%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NWN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.67
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWN is currently trading at $48.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.63 to $54.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NWN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.50 (+18.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NWN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.50 (+18.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$50.63 -
$54.73
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($57.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.63 -
$54.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.44
Resistance Level
$53.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.01
Wall Street Target
$57.50
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 16.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.31
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$46.22
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$45.16
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$48.45
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 5.6%)
$83.91
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 5.6%)
$57.05
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 5.6%)
$48.49
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.92
Bull Case
$60.67
(+25%)
Analyst growth 10.5%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$55.15
(+14%)
Market implied 10.5%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$33.94
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$51.95
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 2:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David A Weber
SELL
1700 shares
2026-03-23
David A Weber
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-05
Joseph S Karney
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-05
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