NXGL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NXGL - NexGel, Inc Common Stock
$1.42
-0.04 (-2.74%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NXGL is down 15.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NXGL is down 15.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXGL is currently trading at $1.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.53 to $1.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXGL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+322.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXGL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+322.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$1.53 -
$1.72
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 322.5% below Wall St target ($6.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1.53 -
$1.72
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.40
Resistance Level
$1.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.88
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(+322.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Profit Margin
-24.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 10.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.35
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$1.28
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$1.21
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$1.42
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$1.66
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NXGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Robert Henry
SELL
7175 shares
2025-10-03
Adam R Levy
SELL
2400 shares
2025-10-03
Adam R Levy
SELL
1600 shares
2025-10-02
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Advanced NXGL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NXGL price and gamma walls.