ODD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ODD - ODDITY Tech Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
$13.31
0.44 (3.43%)
▲
5d:
-3.68%
30d:
+8.13%
90d:
-67.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
ODD is down 5.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $17.5 2026-05-15 with 14 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ODD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ODD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.42
45.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ODD is currently trading at $13.31, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.90 to $21.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ODD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.53, while resistance sits at $14.80. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.78 (+38.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ODD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.53, while resistance sits at $14.80. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.78 (+38.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$9.90 -
$21.85
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.1% below Wall St target ($17.78)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.90 -
$21.85
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.53
Resistance Level
$14.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.60
Wall Street Target
$17.78
(+38.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 13.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.58
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.42
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.38
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→14)
$14.72
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 61.4%)
$112.85
(+777%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 61.4%)
$43.44
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 61.4%)
$36.92
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case
$12.41
(-12%)
Analyst growth -15.6%, PE expands to 8.2
Base Case
$11.28
(-20%)
Market implied -15.6%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case
$9.09
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$20.20
(+56.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
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