OEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OEC - Orion S.A.
$6.28
0.22 (3.63%)
▲
5d:
+20.54%
30d:
+10.37%
90d:
+21.94%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OEC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 20.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OEC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 20.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.35
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OEC is currently trading at $6.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.88 to $5.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 20.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: OEC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: OEC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$4.88 -
$5.91
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.3% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.35)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 20.3% growth with -5.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.88 -
$5.91
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.65
Resistance Level
$6.28
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.71
Wall Street Target
$6.35
(+1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.3%
Profit Margin
-3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+20.3% premium
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 9.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+20.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.55
(+20%)
2-Year Target
$9.09
(+45%)
3-Year Target
$10.93
(+74%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 112.9%)
$30.15
(+380%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 112.9%)
$21.20
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 112.9%)
$12.14
(+93%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 8:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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