OFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OFS - OFS Capital Corporation
$4.97
0.22 (4.63%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 02, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OFS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OFS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.40
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.97
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OFS is currently trading at $4.97, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.68 to $5.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.8) is in line with its historical norms (5.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OFS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.74, while resistance sits at $5.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Implied Volatility is high (82th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+47.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OFS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.74, while resistance sits at $5.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Implied Volatility is high (82th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+47.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$4.68 -
$5.05
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
82th percentile
(EVENT RISK)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OFS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 82th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 47.4% below Wall St target ($7.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.68 -
$5.05
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.25
(25.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.74
Resistance Level
$5.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.75
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+47.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.3%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 5.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.63
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$4.52
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$4.40
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$4.73
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.3%)
$26.01
(+448%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 5.3%)
$5.54
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 5.3%)
$4.71
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$10.96
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$9.96
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$3.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 5.1
Stabilization Target:
$5.10
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced OFS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OFS price and gamma walls.
