OHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OHI - Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.
$44.10
-0.44 (-0.99%)
▼
5d:
-1.65%
30d:
-8.64%
90d:
-0.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OHI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OHI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.39
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.50
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OHI is currently trading at $44.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.45 to $48.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.5) is in line with its historical norms (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.62 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.62 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$45.45 -
$48.17
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($49.62)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$45.45 -
$48.17
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.39
Resistance Level
$48.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.53
Wall Street Target
$49.63
(+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.6%
Profit Margin
49.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 22.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.82
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$41.58
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$40.37
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$44.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 5.3%)
$56.04
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.5, Growth: 5.3%)
$51.48
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 5.3%)
$43.76
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.94
Bull Case
$53.41
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.4%, PE expands to 25.4
Base Case
$48.55
(+8%)
Market implied 8.4%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case
$30.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$48.12
(+9.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Vikas Gupta
BUY
11500 shares
2025-11-06
C Taylor Pickett
BUY
20000 shares
2025-11-05
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