OHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OHI - Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.
$43.88
0.47 (1.08%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.47
Based on 3.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.44
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OHI is currently trading at $43.88, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.65 to $44.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.4) is in line with its historical norms (22.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 42.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OHI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.18, while resistance sits at $45.20.
Market Sentiment: OHI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OHI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.18, while resistance sits at $45.20.
Market Sentiment: OHI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$43.65 -
$44.75
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OHI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($47.31)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$43.65 -
$44.75
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.18
Resistance Level
$45.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.41
Wall Street Target
$47.31
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
42.4%
Profit Margin
46.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 22.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.59
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$41.78
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$40.98
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→23)
$43.46
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.6%)
$50.33
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.4, Growth: 3.6%)
$48.31
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.2, Growth: 3.6%)
$41.06
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case
$53.49
(+22%)
Analyst growth 12.7%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$48.62
(+11%)
Market implied 12.7%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$29.35
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.4 to 22.7
Stabilization Target:
$46.03
(+6.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lisa Egbuonu-Davis
SELL
2500 shares
2025-08-08
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OHI price and gamma walls.
