OKE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OKE - Oneok, Inc.
$79.19
0.63 (0.80%)
ā²
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: OKE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: OKE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.59
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.59
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OKE is currently trading at $79.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.24 to $77.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OKE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $81.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OKE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.50 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OKE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $81.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OKE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.50 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$72.24 -
$77.17
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($87.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$72.24 -
$77.17
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.42
Resistance Level
$81.43
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.46
Wall Street Target
$87.50
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
71.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.2%
Profit Margin
10.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.60
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$82.70
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$84.85
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13ā13)
PE COMPRESSION
$78.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.0%)
$163.94
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 8.0%)
$98.95
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 8.0%)
$84.11
(+7%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.44
Bull Case
$93.54
(+18%)
Analyst growth 7.3%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$85.04
(+7%)
Market implied 7.3%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$53.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Dan Newhouse
BUY
2025-08-18
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