OLED Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OLED - Universal Display Corp
$89.61
-2.05 (-2.24%)
▼
5d:
-7.46%
30d:
-13.62%
90d:
-24.67%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
OLED is down 6.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $135 2026-06-18 with 263 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OLED shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OLED shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$188.25
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$116.89
23.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OLED is currently trading at $89.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $92.48 to $103.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (20.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 45.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLED is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $150.75 (+68.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLED is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $150.75 (+68.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$92.48 -
$103.12
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
54th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OLED? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 54th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 68.2% below Wall St target ($150.75)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$92.48 -
$103.12
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.58
(7.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.59
Resistance Level
$98.09
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.84
Wall Street Target
$150.75
(+68.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
45.2%
Profit Margin
37.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 20.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.71
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$76.34
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$70.46
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→20)
$89.85
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.2%)
$203.49
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 17.2%)
$144.24
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 17.2%)
$122.60
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.08
Bull Case
$116.02
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.4%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$105.47
(+12%)
Market implied 11.4%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$64.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 20.2
Stabilization Target:
$114.26
(+27.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OLED showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced OLED Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OLED price and gamma walls.