OPFI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OPFI - OppFi Inc.

FINANCE SERVICES
$9.52
-0.20 (-2.06%) ā–¼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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šŸ’”
Bottom Line:
šŸ“Š HOLD: OPFI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.62
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.08
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OPFI is currently trading at $9.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.77 to $10.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.6) is in line with its historical norms (5.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 266.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OPFI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: OPFI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+56.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $9.77 - $10.69
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 30th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.6%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 56.0% below Wall St target ($15.17)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $9.77 - $10.69
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.86 (9.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.46
Resistance Level $10.26
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.59
Wall Street Target $15.17 (+56.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 266.4%
Profit Margin 1.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.6 vs 5.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.55 (-2%)
2-Year Target $9.37 (-4%)
3-Year Target $9.20 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→6) $9.72 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.7%) $52.57 (+441%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: 10.7%) $13.17 (+36%)
Bear: (PE: 4.7, Growth: 10.7%) $11.19 (+15%)
šŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 5.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.69
Bull Case $11.50 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 5.9
Base Case $9.52 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 5.6
Bear Case $7.28 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 5.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
šŸ’” Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.6 to 5.9
Stabilization Target: $10.27 (+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:22 PM
šŸ”„ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Pamela D Johnson SELL 5497 shares 2025-10-02
Christopher J Mckay SELL 9030 shares 2025-10-02
Theodore G Schwartz SELL 102325 shares 2025-08-12

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Advanced OPFI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OPFI price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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