OSIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSIS - OSI Systems Inc
$263.58
-1.93 (-0.73%)
▼
5d:
-7.38%
30d:
-8.13%
90d:
+0.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OSIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OSIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$398.88
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$247.68
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSIS is currently trading at $263.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $270.07 to $289.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.9) is in line with its historical norms (24.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $261.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OSIS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $300.00 (+13.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $261.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OSIS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $300.00 (+13.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$270.07 -
$289.11
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($300.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.4%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$270.07 -
$289.11
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$261.50
Resistance Level
$295.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.88
Wall Street Target
$300.00
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Profit Margin
8.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.9 vs 24.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$257.25
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$251.08
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$245.05
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→25)
$263.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.9, Growth: 10.2%)
$352.29
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.2%)
$344.10
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 10.2%)
$292.48
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.82
Bull Case
$394.28
(+36%)
Analyst growth 30.6%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$358.44
(+24%)
Market implied 30.6%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$186.63
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.9 to 24.6
Stabilization Target:
$283.37
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Deepak Chopra
SELL
20000 shares
2026-02-02
Deepak Chopra
SELL
20000 shares
2025-11-10
James B Hawkins
SELL
1500 shares
2025-11-07
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