OSIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSIS - OSI Systems Inc
$250.14
-19.60 (-7.27%)
▼
5d:
-9.04%
30d:
-4.87%
90d:
+0.31%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OSIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OSIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$403.19
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$250.35
0.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSIS is currently trading at $250.14, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $263.75 to $286.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.7) compared to its historical average (25.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $248.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $298.83 (+19.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $248.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $298.83 (+19.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$263.75 -
$286.19
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($298.83)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.0% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$263.75 -
$286.19
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$13.48
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$248.17
Resistance Level
$294.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.73
Wall Street Target
$298.83
(+19.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.7 vs 25.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$237.88
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$226.23
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$215.14
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→25)
$249.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.0%)
$341.20
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.7, Growth: 10.0%)
$332.52
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 10.0%)
$282.64
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.85
Bull Case
$384.23
(+54%)
Analyst growth 28.7%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$349.30
(+40%)
Market implied 28.7%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case
$184.54
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.7 to 25.2
Stabilization Target:
$290.05
(+16.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.0%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 7:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Deepak Chopra
SELL
20000 shares
2025-10-01
Paul Keith Morben
SELL
1671 shares
2025-09-04
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