OSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSK - Oshkosh Corp.
$149.05
1.84 (1.25%)
▲
5d:
+0.78%
30d:
-11.28%
90d:
+17.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OSK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OSK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$309.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$192.25
22.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $149.05, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $142.89 to $166.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $151.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OSK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $172.67 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $151.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OSK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $172.67 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$142.89 -
$166.83
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($172.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$142.89 -
$166.83
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$137.10
Resistance Level
$151.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.41
Wall Street Target
$172.67
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.1%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$145.92
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$142.86
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$139.86
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$149.18
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 26.7%)
$651.83
(+337%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 26.7%)
$303.49
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 26.7%)
$257.96
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.01
Bull Case
$221.14
(+53%)
Analyst growth 43.1%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$201.03
(+39%)
Market implied 43.1%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$95.51
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$158.99
(+6.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anupam Khare
SELL
4000 shares
2026-02-27
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-10-31
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-10-30
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