OSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSK - Oshkosh Corp.
$143.82
-1.53 (-1.05%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OSK is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: OSK is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$206.30
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$128.10
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $143.82, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $133.14 to $153.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $136.55, while resistance sits at $158.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $136.55, while resistance sits at $158.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$133.14 -
$153.26
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OSK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($157.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.6% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$133.14 -
$153.26
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$136.55
Resistance Level
$158.53
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.79
Wall Street Target
$157.65
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$148.69
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$152.11
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$155.61
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$145.23
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.6%)
$402.87
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$212.93
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 13.6%)
$180.99
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.25
Bull Case
$193.43
(+35%)
Analyst growth 20.3%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$175.85
(+22%)
Market implied 20.3%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$99.39
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anupam Khare
SELL
4000 shares
2025-08-22
Bryan K Brandt
SELL
1732 shares
2025-08-18
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OSK price and gamma walls.
