CNH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNH - CNH INDUSTRIAL N.V.
$10.67
-0.09 (-0.84%)
▼
5d:
-1.57%
30d:
+0.28%
90d:
-15.92%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
CNH is up 4.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $10 2026-06-18 with 4,604 OI. Put ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.81
28.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNH is currently trading at $10.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.30 to $11.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.07, while resistance sits at $11.03.
Market Sentiment: CNH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.36 (+25.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.07, while resistance sits at $11.03.
Market Sentiment: CNH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.36 (+25.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.30 -
$11.18
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.2% below Wall St target ($13.36)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.30 -
$11.18
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.07
Resistance Level
$11.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.63
Wall Street Target
$13.36
(+25.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.4%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.19
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$9.73
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$9.29
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$10.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 79.5%)
$54.25
(+408%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 79.5%)
$36.01
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 79.5%)
$30.61
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.32
Bull Case
$23.67
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.0
Base Case
$21.52
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.6
Bear Case
$7.32
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$12.25
(+14.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Suzanne Heywood
BUY
52522 shares
2025-11-18
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Advanced CNH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNH price and gamma walls.
