OTIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OTIS - Otis Worldwide Corporation
$85.42
-1.74 (-2.00%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OTIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OTIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$139.64
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.70
1.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OTIS is currently trading at $85.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.57 to $90.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTIS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $84.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.18 (+20.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTIS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $84.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.18 (+20.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$87.57 -
$90.30
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OTIS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.7% below Wall St target ($105.18)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.1% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$87.57 -
$90.30
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.00
Resistance Level
$91.65
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.69
Wall Street Target
$105.18
(+20.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 19.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.85
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$80.66
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$77.60
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$87.31
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.7%)
$148.91
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 10.7%)
$118.10
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 10.7%)
$100.39
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.50
Bull Case
$137.22
(+61%)
Analyst growth 40.8%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case
$124.75
(+46%)
Market implied 40.8%, PE stable at 25.3
Bear Case
$60.25
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$98.07
(+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.5%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OTIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced OTIS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OTIS price and gamma walls.
