OTIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OTIS - Otis Worldwide Corporation
$76.59
0.63 (0.84%)
ā²
5d:
-3.11%
30d:
-17.26%
90d:
-12.59%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
22d
Smart Money Accumulation
OTIS is down 3.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $95 2026-06-18 with 437 OI. Call ratio: 73% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ā BUY SIGNAL: OTIS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
ā BUY SIGNAL: OTIS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.55
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.68
6.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OTIS is currently trading at $76.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.62 to $91.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (19.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTIS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.43 (+34.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTIS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.43 (+34.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$79.62 -
$91.29
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.9% below Wall St target ($102.43)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$79.62 -
$91.29
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.27
Resistance Level
$84.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.73
Wall Street Target
$102.43
(+34.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 19.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.39
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$67.11
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$63.08
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16ā19)
$76.21
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$147.81
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 11.0%)
$103.78
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$88.21
(+16%)
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Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.50
Bull Case
$120.84
(+53%)
Analyst growth 38.1%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case
$109.85
(+39%)
Market implied 38.1%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case
$54.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
š”
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.7 to 19.0
Stabilization Target:
$91.75
(+20.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OTIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Montlivault Stephane De
SELL
47944 shares
2026-02-12
Michael Patrick Ryan
SELL
1182 shares
2026-02-10
Judith Fran Marks
SELL
56107 shares
2026-02-05
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Advanced OTIS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OTIS price and gamma walls.
