OWL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OWL - Blue Owl Capital Inc.
$13.64
-0.35 (-2.50%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
Get Alerted When OWL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OWL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OWL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.03
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.54
12.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OWL is currently trading at $13.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.70 to $15.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OWL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.12 (+43.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OWL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.12 (+43.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$14.70 -
$15.90
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OWL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.8% below Wall St target ($20.12)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.9% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.70 -
$15.90
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.90
Resistance Level
$16.12
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.49
Wall Street Target
$20.12
(+43.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-78.8%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.65
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$13.33
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$13.01
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$14.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.6%)
$34.99
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 17.6%)
$22.74
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 17.6%)
$19.33
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.94
Bull Case
$16.47
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$13.64
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$10.43
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 15.6
Stabilization Target:
$15.06
(+7.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.7%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 8:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:12 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is OWL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co LP |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$158 | 57 HOLD |
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1334 | 59 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$40 | 63 BUY |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$165 | 56 HOLD |
|
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$38 | 66 BUY |
Advanced OWL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OWL price and gamma walls.
