PAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAA - Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$22.47
0.03 (0.13%)
▲
5d:
+3.17%
30d:
+7.46%
90d:
+27.31%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PAA trades at premium valuation expecting 7.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: PAA trades at premium valuation expecting 7.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.80
Based on 3.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.53
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAA is currently trading at $22.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.90 to $22.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$20.90 -
$22.08
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.89)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.3% growth expectation is conservative given 146% recent growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.90 -
$22.08
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.33
Resistance Level
$22.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.00
Wall Street Target
$21.89
(-2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
145.8%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.3% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 11.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.11
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$25.87
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$27.76
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 3.5%)
$39.76
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 3.5%)
$24.91
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 3.5%)
$20.10
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.12
Bull Case
$36.15
(+66%)
Analyst growth 51.7%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$32.87
(+51%)
Market implied 51.7%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$14.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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