PAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAA - Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$19.24
-0.45 (-2.29%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 06, 2026
6d
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1 traders called PAA this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.44
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.45
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAA is currently trading at $19.24, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.97 to $19.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$17.97 -
$19.32
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.97 -
$19.32
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.00
Resistance Level
$20.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.57
Wall Street Target
$20.65
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
145.8%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.38
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$21.09
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$21.83
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.62
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -2.3%)
$35.43
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: -2.3%)
$18.39
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: -2.3%)
$15.63
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.03
Bull Case
$35.53
(+80%)
Analyst growth 65.2%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$32.30
(+64%)
Market implied 65.2%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$13.29
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PAA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAA price and gamma walls.
