PAGP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAGP - Plains GP Holdings, L.P. Class A Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$23.72
-0.56 (-2.31%)
▼
5d:
-1.45%
30d:
+2.77%
90d:
+24.51%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAGP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAGP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.61
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.66
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAGP is currently trading at $23.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.66 to $24.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$22.66 -
$24.08
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($22.07)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 4.9% growth expectation is conservative given 150% recent growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.66 -
$24.08
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.24
Resistance Level
$24.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.24
Wall Street Target
$22.07
(-7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
150.2%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 9.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.88
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$26.10
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$27.38
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 1.8%)
$49.71
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 1.8%)
$25.00
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 1.8%)
$21.25
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.77
Bull Case
$52.07
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.8
Base Case
$47.34
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case
$16.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAGP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAGP price and gamma walls.
