PAGP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAGP - Plains GP Holdings, L.P. Class A Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$20.48
-0.34 (-1.63%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 06, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAGP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAGP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.70
13.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAGP is currently trading at $20.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.13 to $20.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$19.13 -
$20.49
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.85)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.13 -
$20.49
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.08
Resistance Level
$21.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.24
Wall Street Target
$20.85
(+0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
150.2%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.24
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$21.66
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$22.09
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.80
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 33.3%)
$119.10
(+472%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 33.3%)
$49.35
(+137%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 33.3%)
$41.95
(+102%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.76
Bull Case
$45.56
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.0
Base Case
$41.42
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.3
Bear Case
$14.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAGP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAGP price and gamma walls.
