PAHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PAHC - Phibro Animal Health Corporation Class A

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$40.15
0.26 (0.65%) β–²
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: PAHC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.58
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.10
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PAHC is currently trading at $40.15, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.94 to $40.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (15.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 282.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PAHC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $38.29, while resistance sits at $42.82.

Market Sentiment: PAHC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $37.94 - $40.59
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 50.0%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $37.94 - $40.59
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$2.78 (6.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $38.29
Resistance Level $42.82
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.22
Wall Street Target $43.00 (+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 39.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 282.4%
Profit Margin 4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.2 vs 15.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $38.06 (-5%)
2-Year Target $36.30 (-9%)
3-Year Target $34.63 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13β†’15) $39.84 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.2%) $90.05 (+126%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 10.2%) $53.37 (+34%)
Bear: (PE: 11.2, Growth: 10.2%) $45.36 (+14%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.67
Bull Case $78.58 (+97%)
Analyst growth 80.7%, PE expands to 26.0
Base Case $71.43 (+79%)
Market implied 80.7%, PE stable at 23.7
Bear Case $26.87 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 15.2
Stabilization Target: $45.88 (+15.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +15.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jack Bendheim SELL 3520 shares 2025-10-23
Jack Bendheim SELL 11859 shares 2025-10-22
Jack Bendheim SELL 16075 shares 2025-10-20

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Advanced PAHC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAHC price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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