PANW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PANW - Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Common Stock
$175.42
-1.55 (-0.88%)
▼
5d:
-4.78%
30d:
-4.77%
90d:
-19.63%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PANW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PANW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.21
Based on -17.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.17
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PANW is currently trading at $175.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $180.09 to $189.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 74.0) compared to its historical average (64.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PANW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $171.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PANW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $227.07 (+29.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PANW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $171.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PANW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $227.07 (+29.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$180.09 -
$189.64
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.4% below Wall St target ($227.07)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with 15.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$180.09 -
$189.64
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$171.25
Resistance Level
$189.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
73.96
Wall Street Target
$227.07
(+29.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
74.0 vs 64.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$184.02
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$193.03
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$202.49
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 74→64)
PE COMPRESSION
$175.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 74.0, Growth: -38.4%)
$127.88
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -38.4%)
$38.56
(-78%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -38.4%)
$32.77
(-81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 45.66 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.84
Bull Case
$211.82
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 48.0
Base Case
$175.42
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 45.7
Bear Case
$134.20
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 41.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 7:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PANW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lee Klarich
SELL
120774 shares
2025-10-06
Josh D Paul
SELL
700 shares
2025-10-01
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-29
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Advanced PANW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PANW price and gamma walls.
