PANW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PANW - Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Common Stock
$163.21
2.54 (1.58%)
▲
5d:
+4.38%
30d:
+2.93%
90d:
-11.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
Get Alerted When PANW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PANW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PANW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.86
Based on -17.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.95
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PANW is currently trading at $163.21, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $150.61 to $167.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 71.2) is in line with its historical norms (66.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PANW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $143.50, while resistance sits at $169.19.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $206.83 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PANW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $143.50, while resistance sits at $169.19.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $206.83 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$150.61 -
$167.14
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($206.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$150.61 -
$167.14
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$143.50
Resistance Level
$169.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
71.22
Wall Street Target
$206.83
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.5%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
71.2 vs 66.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$166.80
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$170.47
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$174.22
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 71→67)
PE COMPRESSION
$163.17
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 71.2, Growth: -37.9%)
$118.98
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: -37.9%)
$34.37
(-79%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: -37.9%)
$29.21
(-82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 44.25 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.71
Bull Case
$198.09
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 46.5
Base Case
$164.05
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 44.3
Bear Case
$125.50
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 39.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 05, 2026 11:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PANW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James J Goetz
SELL
22684 shares
2026-03-06
Josh Gottheimer
SELL
2026-02-27
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Featured in Portfolios
PANW is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation |
STRONG BUY
61 analysts |
$595 | 59 HOLD |
|
CYBR
CyberArk Software Ltd |
STRONG BUY
38 analysts |
$475 | 52 HOLD |
|
CFLT
Confluent Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$31 | 63 BUY |
|
GTLB
Gitlab Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$34 | 57 HOLD |
|
TWLO
Twilio Inc |
BUY
31 analysts |
$143 | 68 BUY |
Advanced PANW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PANW price and gamma walls.
