Is PBA stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, PBA is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: PBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of PBA stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PBA to be between $37.11 and $40.24. The current price is $41.58.

What is the analyst price target for PBA?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PBA is $38.30. This implies a potential upside of -8.9% from current levels.

PBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PBA - PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION

Oil & Gas Field Exploration Services

$41.58

-0.47 (-1.12%) ▼

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your PBA Gains

Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Feb 26, 2026 25d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 3.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$44.31

Based on 3.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$27.51

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PBA is currently trading at $41.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.11 to $40.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: PBA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $37.11 - $40.24

Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 58.1%

Protect Your Profits

PBA is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($38.30)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with -2.9% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $37.11 - $40.24

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $38.49

Resistance Level $42.20

Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.77

Wall Street Target $38.30 (-8.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -27.9%

Profit Margin 22.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +4.0% premium

PE vs Historical 14.8 vs 13.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +4.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $43.73 (+4%)

2-Year Target $45.48 (+8%)

3-Year Target $47.30 (+13%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→13) PE COMPRESSION $41.96 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.0%) $69.31 (+65%)

Base: (SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 3.0%) $45.89 (+9%)

Bear: (PE: 12.6, Growth: 3.0%) $39.01 (-7%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 20.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.06

Bull Case $63.37 (+52%)

Analyst growth 38.2%, PE expands to 22.3

Base Case $57.61 (+39%)

Market implied 38.2%, PE stable at 20.2

Bear Case $28.34 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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