PBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PBR - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S.A.-PETROBRAS ADS (REP 1 COMMON SHARE)
$20.70
0.62 (3.09%)
▲
5d:
+1.82%
30d:
+23.43%
90d:
+74.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
Get Alerted When PBR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PBR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PBR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.12
Based on -7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.91
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBR is currently trading at $20.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.07 to $20.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.4% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.53, while resistance sits at $21.40. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $14.74. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.53, while resistance sits at $21.40. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $14.74. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$17.07 -
$20.03
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 26.6% above Wall St target ($14.74)
- BEARISH: Market expects 7.4% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.07 -
$20.03
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.53
Resistance Level
$21.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.02
Wall Street Target
$14.74
(-26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.4% premium
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 6.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.57
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$23.16
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$24.88
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -18.0%)
$40.79
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: -18.0%)
$14.64
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: -18.0%)
$11.86
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.16
Bull Case
$16.61
(-14%)
Analyst growth 15.9%, PE expands to 6.6
Base Case
$15.10
(-22%)
Market implied 15.9%, PE stable at 6.0
Bear Case
$8.86
(-54%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 11:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Integrated Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Integrated by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corp |
BUY
28 analysts |
$152 | 68 BUY |
|
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$27 | 60 HOLD |
|
CVX
Chevron Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$194 | 55 HOLD |
|
SHEL
Shell PLC ADR |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$86 | 56 HOLD |
|
SU
Suncor Energy Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$57 | 64 BUY |
