PFX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PFX - PhenixFIN Corporation Common Stock
$42.45
-2.11 (-4.73%)
▼
5d:
-2.97%
30d:
-5.12%
90d:
-11.1%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 06, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PFX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PFX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.81
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.04
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PFX is currently trading at $42.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.21 to $44.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.8) is in line with its historical norms (25.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: PFX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $35.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: PFX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $35.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$43.21 -
$44.77
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
- BEARISH: Trading 17.6% above Wall St target ($35.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$43.21 -
$44.77
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.45
Resistance Level
$44.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.82
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(-17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.6%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.8 vs 25.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.28
(0%)
2-Year Target
$42.11
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$41.94
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→25)
$42.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.8, Growth: 6.2%)
$50.86
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.2%)
$45.69
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 6.2%)
$38.84
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.06
Bull Case
$40.69
(-4%)
Analyst growth -17.0%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$36.99
(-13%)
Market implied -17.0%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$30.30
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.8 to 25.1
Stabilization Target:
$42.92
(+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.1%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 6:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PFX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
19
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ellida Mcmillan
BUY
248 shares
2025-09-23
Lowell W Robinson
BUY
44 shares
2025-09-17
Lowell W Robinson
BUY
86 shares
2025-09-16
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