PGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PGC - Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corp
$41.73
-0.08 (-0.19%)
▼
5d:
-2.91%
30d:
+8.45%
90d:
+22.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PGC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PGC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.17
9.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PGC is currently trading at $41.73, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.57 to $42.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.95, while resistance sits at $43.83.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.44 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.95, while resistance sits at $43.83.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.44 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.57 -
$42.33
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.44)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.57 -
$42.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.95
Resistance Level
$43.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.74
Wall Street Target
$48.44
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
86.0%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.02
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$44.36
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$45.73
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.84
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 30.0%)
$231.63
(+455%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 30.0%)
$91.77
(+120%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 30.0%)
$78.00
(+87%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.47
Bull Case
$88.86
(+113%)
Analyst growth 93.2%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$80.78
(+94%)
Market implied 93.2%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case
$28.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maureen Hemhauser
SELL
5272 shares
2026-02-09
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