PGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PGC - Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corp
$47.38
-0.95 (-1.97%)
▼
5d:
+2.11%
30d:
+8.89%
90d:
+32.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 20, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PGC trades at premium valuation expecting 5.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: PGC trades at premium valuation expecting 5.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.77
2.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PGC is currently trading at $47.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.48 to $46.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PGC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PGC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PGC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PGC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$43.48 -
$46.79
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.94)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.48 -
$46.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.95
Resistance Level
$45.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.75
Wall Street Target
$50.94
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
86.0%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.6% premium
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 8.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.03
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$52.84
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$55.79
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.50
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 30.1%)
$232.88
(+392%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 30.1%)
$104.24
(+120%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 30.1%)
$88.60
(+87%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.47
Bull Case
$104.60
(+121%)
Analyst growth 96.8%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$95.09
(+101%)
Market implied 96.8%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$32.86
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maureen Hemhauser
SELL
5272 shares
2026-02-09
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