PI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PI - Impinj, Inc. Common Stock

ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC
$96.07
-2.68 (-2.71%) ▼
5d: -5.04%
30d: -21.68%
90d: -44.79%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your PI Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026 21d
Smart Money Distribution

PI is up 6.9% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $97.5 2026-05-15 with 3 OI. Put ratio: 67% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.77
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PI is currently trading at $96.07, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.29 to $117.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 31.0) compared to its historical average (48.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $95.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.00 (+73.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $94.29 - $117.33
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 49th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.7%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 49th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 73.8% below Wall St target ($167.00)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.0% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $94.29 - $117.33
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$11.97 (12.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $95.00
Resistance Level $106.82
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.97
Wall Street Target $167.00 (+73.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 14.7%
Profit Margin -3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -13.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 31.0 vs 48.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -13.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $86.46 (-10%)
2-Year Target $77.82 (-19%)
3-Year Target $70.04 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31→48) $109.45 (+14%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 31.0, Growth: 63.5%) $324.24 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 63.5%) $234.00 (+144%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 63.5%) $198.90 (+107%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.0 to 48.4
Stabilization Target: $150.14 (+56.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +56.3%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sylebra Capital Llc SELL 134629 shares 2025-12-15
Sylebra Capital Llc SELL 50573 shares 2025-12-12
Sylebra Capital Llc SELL 95345 shares 2025-12-11

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