PK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PK - Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. Common Stock

HOTELS & MOTELS
$10.40
0.02 (0.19%) β–²
5d: -2.99%
30d: -9.09%
90d: -0.57%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026 26d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: PK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.70
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.40
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PK is currently trading at $10.40, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.36 to $11.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.56 (+20.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $10.36 - $11.17
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 82.9%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($12.56)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.5% growth with 0.6% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $10.36 - $11.17
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.15
Resistance Level $10.92
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.55
Wall Street Target $12.56 (+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -63.6%
Profit Margin -11.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.5% premium
PE vs Historical 20.6 vs 16.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.28 (+9%)
2-Year Target $12.24 (+18%)
3-Year Target $13.28 (+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21β†’16) PE COMPRESSION $10.41 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: -1.3%) $10.02 (+-4%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: -1.3%) $10.01 (-4%)
Bear: (PE: 16.1, Growth: -1.3%) $7.84 (-25%)
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 8:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:59 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Christie B Kelly BUY 2949 shares 2026-01-14

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