PK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PK - Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. Common Stock
$10.93
0.03 (0.28%)
▲
5d:
-3.87%
30d:
+1.11%
90d:
-0.36%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.41
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.43
4.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PK is currently trading at $10.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.70 to $11.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.30 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.30 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$10.70 -
$11.37
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.30)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with -7.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.70 -
$11.37
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.66
Resistance Level
$11.87
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.10
Wall Street Target
$12.30
(+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-63.6%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 12.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.47
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$12.03
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$12.62
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.91
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 40.9%)
$48.35
(+342%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 40.9%)
$30.58
(+180%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 40.9%)
$25.99
(+138%)
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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