PKOH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PKOH - Park-Ohio Holdings Corp
$22.56
0.33 (1.48%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PKOH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PKOH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.24
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.02
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PKOH is currently trading at $22.56, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.19 to $22.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.17, while resistance sits at $24.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+37.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.17, while resistance sits at $24.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+37.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$21.19 -
$22.99
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
54th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 54th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.4% below Wall St target ($31.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -4.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$21.19 -
$22.99
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.35
(10.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.17
Resistance Level
$24.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.16
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+37.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.5%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.83
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$23.10
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$23.38
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.53
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$100.02
(+343%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 12.5%)
$32.12
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 12.5%)
$27.30
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case
$36.27
(+61%)
Analyst growth 53.7%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$32.98
(+46%)
Market implied 53.7%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$14.59
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 2:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:17 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is PKOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Matthew V Crawford
BUY
4167 shares
2025-08-14
Matthew V Crawford
BUY
4101 shares
2025-08-13
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