Is PLTR stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, PLTR is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: PLTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of PLTR stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PLTR to be between $151.52 and $180.95. The current price is $135.90.

What is the analyst price target for PLTR?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PLTR is $190.75. This implies a potential upside of 40.4% from current levels.

PLTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PLTR - Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$135.90

5.89 (4.53%) ▲

5d: -7.29%

30d: -25.2%

90d: -27.67%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Feb 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PLTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$87.83

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$54.53

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PLTR is currently trading at $135.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $151.52 to $180.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 75.3) compared to its historical average (165.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 681.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PLTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $128.32, while resistance sits at $170.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: PLTR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.75 (+40.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $151.52 - $180.95

Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 61.9%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
BULLISH: Trading 40.4% below Wall St target ($190.75)
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.3% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $151.52 - $180.95

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $128.32

Resistance Level $170.59

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Feb 6, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 75.33

Wall Street Target $190.75 (+40.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 70.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 681.2%

Profit Margin 36.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -23.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 75.3 vs 165.4 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -23.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $122.31 (-10%)

2-Year Target $110.08 (-19%)

3-Year Target $99.07 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 75→165) $217.52 (+60%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 75.3, Growth: 36.5%) $345.57 (+154%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 36.5%) $102.29 (-25%)

Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 36.5%) $86.95 (-36%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (128x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (75x PE) as earnings recover.

Forward PE: 128.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.06

Bull Case $164.10 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 134.6

Base Case $135.90 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 128.2

Bear Case $103.96 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 115.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 75.3 to 165.4

Stabilization Target: $298.38 (+119.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +119.6%

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Last updated: February 08, 2026 11:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Ryan D Taylor SELL 12000 shares 2026-01-02

Lauren Elaina Friedman S… SELL 3400 shares 2026-01-02

Jonathan L. Jackson BUY 2025-12-22

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