PPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PPC - Pilgrims Pride Corporation

POULTRY SLAUGHTERING AND PROCESSING
$43.37
-0.06 (-0.14%) ▼
5d: +3.12%
30d: +9.35%
90d: +13.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026 8d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PPC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.17
Based on -6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.49
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PPC is currently trading at $43.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.96 to $42.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PPC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $44.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: PPC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $38.96 - $42.51
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 23th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.57)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with 3.8% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $38.96 - $42.51
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.18 (7.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $40.95
Resistance Level $44.04
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.99
Wall Street Target $43.57 (+0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -2.0%
Profit Margin 6.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.9% premium
PE vs Historical 10.0 vs 9.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $44.63 (+3%)
2-Year Target $45.92 (+6%)
3-Year Target $47.25 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→9) PE COMPRESSION $43.52 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -16.9%) $70.58 (+63%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: -16.9%) $31.62 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 8.5, Growth: -16.9%) $26.87 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.16
Bull Case $39.85 (-8%)
Analyst growth -15.9%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case $36.23 (-17%)
Market implied -15.9%, PE stable at 8.4
Bear Case $29.28 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 2:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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