PRDO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRDO - Perdoceo Education Corporation
$37.23
-0.66 (-1.74%)
βΌ
5d:
+7.73%
30d:
+11.73%
90d:
+25.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: PRDO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: PRDO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.79
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.05
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRDO is currently trading at $37.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.92 to $36.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRDO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.79, while resistance sits at $38.50.
Market Sentiment: PRDO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRDO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.79, while resistance sits at $38.50.
Market Sentiment: PRDO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$32.92 -
$36.08
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$32.92 -
$36.08
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
Β±$1.97
(5.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.79
Resistance Level
$38.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.39
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Profit Margin
18.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.79
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$38.36
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$38.93
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11β11)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$90.27
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$45.88
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 7.2%)
$39.00
(+5%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.42
Bull Case
$51.37
(+43%)
Analyst growth 35.1%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$46.70
(+30%)
Market implied 35.1%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$23.50
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRDO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Todd S Nelson
SELL
11346 shares
2026-03-17
Todd S Nelson
SELL
40000 shares
2026-03-16
David C Czeszewski
SELL
36225 shares
2026-02-25
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