PRDO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRDO - Perdoceo Education Corporation
$32.03
0.26 (0.82%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PRDO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PRDO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.49
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.76
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRDO is currently trading at $32.03, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.26 to $32.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRDO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.03, while resistance sits at $33.13.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRDO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.03, while resistance sits at $33.13.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$30.26 -
$32.28
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.1% below Wall St target ($42.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$30.26 -
$32.28
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.74
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.03
Resistance Level
$33.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.52
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+31.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Profit Margin
19.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.61
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$33.19
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$33.79
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.0%)
$80.33
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 9.0%)
$41.50
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$35.28
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.33
Bull Case
$41.72
(+30%)
Analyst growth 19.3%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$37.93
(+18%)
Market implied 19.3%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$21.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 10:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRDO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Todd S Nelson
SELL
40000 shares
2025-09-17
Todd S Nelson
SELL
40000 shares
2025-09-15
Elise Baskel
SELL
21212 shares
2025-09-12
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Advanced PRDO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PRDO price and gamma walls.
