PRDO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PRDO - Perdoceo Education Corporation

SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
$37.23
-0.66 (-1.74%) β–Ό
5d: +7.73%
30d: +11.73%
90d: +25.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: PRDO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.79
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.05
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PRDO is currently trading at $37.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.92 to $36.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PRDO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.79, while resistance sits at $38.50.

Market Sentiment: PRDO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $32.92 - $36.08
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.3%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $32.92 - $36.08
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$1.97 (5.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $33.79
Resistance Level $38.50
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.39
Wall Street Target $42.00 (+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 19.0%
Profit Margin 18.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.5% premium
PE vs Historical 11.4 vs 10.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $37.79 (+2%)
2-Year Target $38.36 (+3%)
3-Year Target $38.93 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11β†’11) PE COMPRESSION $37.27 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.2%) $90.27 (+143%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 7.2%) $45.88 (+23%)
Bear: (PE: 9.7, Growth: 7.2%) $39.00 (+5%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.42
Bull Case $51.37 (+43%)
Analyst growth 35.1%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case $46.70 (+30%)
Market implied 35.1%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case $23.50 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Todd S Nelson SELL 11346 shares 2026-03-17
Todd S Nelson SELL 40000 shares 2026-03-16
David C Czeszewski SELL 36225 shares 2026-02-25

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